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Charles Schwab expands into prediction markets with S&P 500 bets

by June 19, 2026
written by June 19, 2026

Charles Schwab Corporation partnered with Cboe Global Markets to introduce binary options tied to the performance of the S&P 500, marking its entry into the rapidly growing prediction markets segment.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the brokerage is working with Cboe to roll out all-or-nothing options contracts that allow customers to make yes-or-no wagers on whether the S&P 500 closes above or below a specified level.

The contracts will pay a fixed cash settlement if the prediction is correct and nothing if it is not.

Although structured as options rather than futures contracts, the products function similarly to prediction markets offered by platforms such as Robinhood and Interactive Brokers.

Schwab plans to make the contracts available to customers in the coming months.

New offerings aim to broaden investor participation

Schwab is also introducing an options product that incorporates a Cboe feature known as “the plus zone.”

The feature allows traders to receive a partial payout even if their predictions are not entirely accurate and the index closes near, but not exactly at, the anticipated level.

Cboe began discussing the return of binary options contracts months ago as interest in prediction markets accelerated.

Company executives have indicated that such products could appeal to investors who have experimented with prediction markets but have not yet moved into more sophisticated options strategies.

The companies have also discussed developing contracts linked to other indexes and financial benchmarks.

However, Schwab intends to focus exclusively on events with measurable outcomes in financial markets and is not expected to offer contracts tied to sports, entertainment or other non-financial events.

The expansion comes as prediction markets have grown rapidly in popularity over the past several years.

The products gained significant attention during the 2024 US presidential election and have since evolved into an asset class that allows traders to wager on outcomes ranging from monetary policy decisions and corporate earnings to major sporting events.

Brokerage tightens risk controls around long-short strategies

The move into prediction markets comes as Schwab simultaneously adds new safeguards around another rapidly growing area of its business.

The company recently informed advisers that it is implementing tighter margin requirements for clients using long-short investment strategies.

These strategies typically combine long and short positions and use margin loans and proceeds from short sales to finance investments.

Under the new requirements, individual accounts must maintain margin debits below 110% of short credits, while the aggregate limit across all accounts using long-short strategies is set at 100%.

If the requirements are not met, Schwab said it may impose restrictions.

“If the margin call is not resolved within the required time frame, ‘we may restrict new account enrollments in the strategy, execute transactions in the account to satisfy the deficiency, or take additional action to manage the exposure,’ Schwab said in the notice.”

The brokerage emphasized its continued support for long-short strategies.

“The changes we have recently shared with our participating RIA clients are designed to ensure the program grows and meets demand sustainably,” the firm said. “With Schwab’s scale, balance sheet, and expertise behind it, Long/Short SMA Strategies on Schwab’s platform are well positioned for the long term.”

Schwab introduced leverage caps and account minimums on long-short separately managed accounts in April.

The company reported margin loan balances of nearly $127 billion at the end of the first quarter.

Shares of Charles Schwab have fallen about 9% so far this year as investors monitor both the company’s expansion into new trading products and its efforts to manage risks across its growing platform.

The post Charles Schwab expands into prediction markets with S&P 500 bets appeared first on Invezz

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